Bruins shoot for sweep in Philly

Hockey Betting Lines

05/07/2010 - (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Boston Bruins will shoot for a sweep of their Eastern Conference semifinal series when they visit the Philadelphia Flyers for Game 4 tonight at Wachovia Center.

The sixth-seeded Bruins are just once victory away from ending this best-of-seven series and securing a berth to the conference finals for the first time since 1992, when they were swept by Pittsburgh.

Meanwhile, the seventh-seeded Flyers will try to avoid getting swept in front of the home crowd tonight. Philadelphia hasn't been swept since losing the 1997 Stanley Cup Finals to Detroit.

Boston won the first two games of this series on home ice, posting each victory by one goal, and then notched a 4-1 decision in Wednesday's road test in Philadelphia. Blake Wheeler recorded a goal with one assist while Mark Recchi added a key power-play score to hand the Bruins the 3-0 series lead.

Miroslav Satan and Patrice Bergeron also lit the lamp for the Bruins, while Tuukka Rask picked up his seventh win of these playoffs with a 34-save performance.

"We haven't been happy the way we've played in our own end. We thought we were just a little lax back there," Recchi said of his club's first two games. "I think we made the conscious effort coming on the road, playing a real good road defensive game. When we did make mistakes, Tuukka was there."

Arron Asham provided the lone offense for the Flyers and Brian Boucher allowed three goals on only 19 shots in defeat.

Philadelphia has held the lead for a total of 1 minute, 39 seconds in this series and that came after Asham's goal 2:32 into Wednesday's contest. Wheeler scored at 4:11 of the first period and Boston would record the game's final three goals.

"It'd be nice to play with the lead, obviously. We haven't had it at all this series and I don't know what to say," Boucher lamented. "It's frustrating when you don't have the lead and it seems like you are chasing all the time."

The Bruins did lose a key forward to injury in Wednesday's victory, as David Krejci suffered a dislocated right wrist that will keep him sidelined for the remainder of the playoffs. Krejci, who has four goals and four assists in nine playoff games this year, underwent successful surgery Thursday Union Memorial Hospital in Baltimore to repair the wrist.

Krejci was injured on a big hit in the first period by Flyers captain Mike Richards, but the Bruins scored on a breakaway just moments after the collision.

Meanwhile, the Flyers could get an important forward back tonight as winger Simon Gagne is expected to be a game-time decision. Gagne hasn't played since April 20, when he suffered a broken toe on his right foot in Game 4 of Philadelphia's opening-round series against New Jersey.

The 30-year-old has two assists in four playoff games this year and posted 17 goals and 40 points in 58 regular-season contests in 2009-10. Gagne is also one of the Flyers better defensive forwards and could give a boost to the club's special teams.

Philadelphia will need all the help it can get, considering the Bruins are a perfect 16-0 when leading a best-of-seven series by a 3-0 margin. The Flyers have faced an 0-3 series deficit in best-of-seven playoff series six times in franchise history and have only forced a Game 5 on one occasion (2008 Eastern finals vs. Pittsburgh in a five-game defeat).

Only twice in NHL history has a team come back from a 3-0 series deficit to win a series. The last time it happened was in 1975, when the New York Islanders charged back to defeat Pittsburgh in the quarterfinals. The Detroit Red Wings were on the wrong end of the other 3-0 comeback, losing the 1942 Stanley Cup Finals against Toronto.

The Flyers are 2-1 at home in the playoffs and were 24-14-3 as the host during the regular season. Boston is 2-2 on the road in the postseason after recording a respectable 21-13-7 record as the guest during the regular season.

If necessary, Game 5 of this series will take place Monday in Boston.

Boston and the Flyers are meeting in the playoffs for the first time since 1978. Each team has won twice in the four all-time playoff series between the clubs. The Flyers won the most notable matchup, beating Boston in six games to win the Stanley Cup in 1974. The Bruins have won the last two encounters, including a five-game series win over Philly the last time clubs met in the 1978 Stanley Cup semifinals.

The Flyers and B's split four games this year in a season series that included Boston's 2-1 overtime victory in the Winter Classic at Fenway Park. Both the Bruins and Flyers had 2-1-1 records in the series.

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Horse Betting

(This is an update of a sportsbook for the May 4th issue of ESPN The Magazine).

The Kentucky Derby's post-position draw happened on Wednesday. And, as is always the case, shortly afterwards, a buzz raced around Churchill Downs. It was a low rumble at first, nothing that the squares in the mint julep crowd pick up right away. But by the time the sun set over the twin spires, the chatter was impossible to ignore. Everyone -- sharps, trainers, owners -- was talking about one thing: the wise guy horse, the pre-draw long shot us mopes didn't have on our radar until it was too late.

"You think you're hearing the scoop," says handicapper Lane Gold. "Then you get to the window, the odds are short, and you missed it."

Recognizing a wise-guy horse early is as hard as picking a Derby bonnet. That's because handicappers don't like hype (see ya, I Want Revenge). They want Thoroughbreds who look good losing prep races like the Santa Anita Derby. They eye horses who ate up the field after starting wide or made an easy transition from synthetic tracks to dirt. They look for ponies who showed muscle gain race to race and those who ran hard after several weeks' rest.

"A wise guy," says John Avello, a bookmaker at Wynn Las Vegas, "looks for a horse who can improve."

When I first wrote Horse Betting for The Mag, which I turned in a three weeks before Wednesday's draw, I predicted these three horses had wise guy potential:

CHOCOLATE CANDY (15-1 in mid-April, currently 20-1 according to Avello): His second-place finish at Santa Anita, following a seven-week layoff, proved two things: He can run after resting, and -- by losing a high-profile prep race -- he wouldn't be overhyped.

DESERT PARTY (15-1; 15-1): He was upset in the UAE Derby by a horse he had beaten twice. The public remembers his loss, but the wise guys his wins.

PIONEEROF THE NILE (8-1; 4-1): The big favorite at Santa Anita struggled to win, so he initially got less hype than Quality Road and I Want Revenge.

You may have noticed that the odds on Pioneerof the Nile have been cut in half, from 8-1 to 4-1. Which means the wise guys took a shine to him long before the post-position draw. But, to be honest, this is one of those years with four elite horses getting everyone's attention, squares and sharps alike.

"You're not gonna get a lot of chatter about a horse that isn't in that group, which includes Pioneer, I Want Revenge, Dunkirk and Friesan Fire," Avello told me Wednesday. "We don't have a group of horses behind those top four who look like real legit contenders."

Come Derby week, the final two elements in picking a wise guy horse are how he's working out and what gate he's coming out of.

(By the way, picking a Preakness favorite is a whole different bale of hay, partially based on how horses finish in the Derby. You can see my analysis of who has the best shot at Pimlico on Insider Sunday morning.)

Well, early in the week I Want Revenge, Pioneerof the Nile and Friesan Fire were working out better than anyone. Some thought Friesan Fire, currently 6-1, might have run too fast, burning a five-furlong run in :57 4/5. "When you are running that fast you have the sense that it took something out of him," says Gold. "The Derby is longer than any horse has run, and if they need that extra surge you worry they won't have it because they burned it in the workout."

But, Gold points out, Friesan Fire's trainer is Larry Jones, Two years ago his horse Hard Spun did a five-eighths workout in :57 3/5 and then went on to finish second, behind Street Sense, in the Derby. "Every trainer has different methods," says Gold. "And clearly he knows what he's doing."

Now, as for starting position, Gold says to remember this: Churchill Downs traditionally has 14 starting gates. For the Derby, it brings out auxiliary gates and between the original 14th gate and the new 15th gate, there is a little more space than there is between gates 1-14. "That 15 position will give you a precious second or two to sort out what's happening to your inside," says Gold. "Sixteen is also okay because you can follow the horse in front of you."

Dunkirk, one of the race favorites, is coming out of gate 15. In 16 is Baffert's Pioneerof the Nile. I Want Revenge drew 13, where Smarty Jones won from in 2004, and Friesan Fire picked the sixth position. "He doesn't have a lot of speed to the inside of him," says Gold. "So he will get a clear shot to be near the front."

All the jibber-jabber means this: Pioneerof the Nile has leapfrogged from 8-1 to being the second favorite, along with Dunkirk, behind I Want Revenge. Meanwhile, Friesan Fire, with a good trainer, a strong week of training and a decent post position, is still at 6-1. "By Saturday, it's possible he could go from fourth to the favorite," says Gold.

In other words, meet Friesan Fire, your 2009 wise guy horse.

"Now," says Avello, "it's time for action."

To visit this horse betting site go to MySportsbook.com for all your horse racing betting needs.