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06/04/2010 - Toronto, ON (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Jose Bautista homered twice and Brett Cecil pitched a solid eight innings, as Toronto beat the Yankees, 6-1, to kick off a three-game set at Rogers Centre.
Bautista came in tied for the major league-lead in home runs before clubbing Nos 17 and 18. He narrowly missed another with a double off the left-field wall in the eighth and ended 3-for-3 with three RBI and a walk.
Cecil (6-2) gave up a run on a double-play ball, allowed five hits, walked one and struck out five to win his fourth consecutive start. The young lefty has yielded just five runs spanning 29 2/3 innings on the tear.
A.J. Burnett (6-3) was tagged for six runs on six hits, including three homers, in six innings for the Yankees, who were coming off an impressive 6-1 homestand that culminated with a three-game sweep of the Baltimore Orioles.
Robinson Cano's 17-game hit streak was snapped with an 0-for-4 game.
<< Broncos give OL Kuper six-year deal
Englewood, CO (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Denver Broncos made a number of moves on
Friday, including giving offensive lineman Chris Kuper a six-year contract.
Kuper, a fifth-round pick of Denver in 2006, has started 42 games in his
career.
<< Flyers have two-goal lead after one period in Game 4
Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Goals from Mike Richards, Claude Giroux
and Matt Carle were countered by a goal from Patrick Sharp as the Philadelphia
Flyers hold a 3-1 lead over the Chicago Blackhawks after 20 minutes of action
in Game 4 o
<< Brewers make numerous roster moves
St. Louis, MO (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Milwaukee Brewers made a number of roster
moves on Friday, including reinstating infielder Mat Gamel from the 60-day
disabled list.
Gamel has not played a game in the majors this season due to an
<< Braves disable Saito
Los Angeles, CA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Atlanta Braves have placed reliever
Takashi Saito on the 15-day disabled list with a left hamstring injury.
Saito felt tightness while pitching in the ninth inning of Atlanta's 4-3 win
against th
Mets hold off Marlins >>
Flushing, NY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - R.A. Dickey threw into the seventh and added
two hits, a run scored and an RBI at the plate, guiding the Mets to a slim 4-3
victory over the Marlins in the opener of a three-game series.
Francisco Rodriguez
UCLA coaching legend Wooden dies at 99 >>
Los Angeles, CA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Legendary UCLA men's basketball coach John
Wooden passed away Friday at the age of 99.
Wooden coached the Bruins from 1948-1975 and claimed 10 national championships
over a 12-season stretch, including a r
Boston and Buchholz spoil Samuel's Orioles debut >>
Baltimore, MD (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Clay Buchholz threw his second career shutout
to help the Boston Red Sox rout the Orioles, 11-0, in Juan Samuel's managerial
debut on the Baltimore bench.
Buchholz (8-3), who threw only his third career comp
Halladay doesn't duplicate perfection, but Phils still top Padres >>
Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Roy Halladay wasn't perfect, but the
Phillies' ace still threw seven solid innings and was backed by Shane
Victorino's productive night in a 3-2 win over the Padres.
Halladay (8-3), in his
Las Vegas Sports Consultants (LVSC) is the world’s premier oddsmaking company and the most respected authority on making the lines. Mike Seba is a Senior Oddsmaker at LVSC and has been making lines for the last six years. In our extended interview, Seba explained that there are 4-5 oddsmakers assigned to make lines for each of the major sports (pro & college football and basketball; MLB, NHL, boxing, golf). Each of these oddsmakers bring unique opinions, strengths and weaknesses to the process. Oddsmakers at LVSC are professional sports junkies who love what they do and would probably do it for nothing if you asked them, but they do get paid for it. By necessity their approach is very research-oriented and concise, since with millions of dollars at risk there is little margin for error.
“You either have a passion for it or you don’t,” Seba said.
“The #1 thing for us is to make a line for each game that creates good two-way action. We do this by drawing from past experiences and applying them to current situations. People think it’s much more complicated, but it’s not. “Divided action means the sportsbook is guaranteed a profit on the game because of the fee charged to the bettor (called juice or vig – typically $11 bet to win $10).
Power ratings are the oddsmaker’s value of each team and are used as a guide to calculate a "preliminary" pointspread on an upcoming game. The power ratings are adjusted after each game a team plays. Examples of non-game factors that would require an adjustment to a team's power rating are key player injuries and player trades.
Once a game’s power rating based pointspread is determined, the oddsmaker will make adjustments to that line after considering each team's most recent games played and previous games played against that opponent. Also, adjustments are made after reading each team’s local newspapers to get a sense of what the coaches & players are thinking going into the game.Since the oddsmaker’s ultimate goal is equally dividing the sports betting action, public perception and sportsbook betting patterns must be taken into account. For example, the public might have heavy betting interest week after week on a popular college football betting team such as USC. If an oddsmaker comes up with a preliminary line of USC -7, then an adjustment up to -7.5 or -8 would be made in response to the public’s expected USC bias.
The last step in the line-making process for each oddsmaker is taking one final look to determine whether or not the line "feels right." This is where common sense and past experience with how games are bet enters into the picture.A round-table discussion among the 4-5 oddsmakers involved in making the line for each sport is then conducted and a consensus line is decided upon by the Odds Director before it is released to the sportsbooks. Of the 4-5 oddsmakers, generally the 2 most respected opinions are weighed more heavily by the Odds Director before he decides on the final line.
Experts working for the individual books having a strong opinion on the game
Individual books having players who consistently bet with certain tendencies (such as an extreme bias toward favorites or toward a certain popular team like USC)The purpose of these adjustments, like all line adjustments, is to more equally divide the betting action.
Once betting begins, sportsbooks can adjust the line at any time. In doing so they attempt to make more attractive the team that is getting less action. By moving the line, sportsbooks can influence how the public bets on a particular game.For example, if the pointspread on a game is 7 and most of the money is coming in on the underdog (taking the +7), sportsbooks will then move the number down to 6 ½ to try and attract money on the favorite.
Moving the line is the oddsmaker's effort to balance betting action, and often times such moves can have a major impact on a bettor’s decision. Oddsmakers can also change the line depending on various event-related factors such as player injuries or weather. Obviously, if the line comes out a week ahead of the event (which is the case in football), there is much that could happen during the week leading up to the event that could affect the line. Oddsmakers have to determine if any changes are necessary and send out an "adjusted line."“The main objective is that our clients get equal action on both sides,” Seba said. “We’re not trying to pick the team that covers the spread, we’re trying to make it a coin flip, a tough decision (for the bettor). If we’ve done that, we’ve done our job.”
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Underdog bettors love the Super Bowl and, history suggests, the underdogs love them back. And the big dogs bite harder.
Even so, there is a warning in store for Super Bowl gamblers who must love dogs: The Arizona Cardinals Super Bowl betting lines might not be enough of a Cinderella to make it worth your while.
Although the Cardinals were widely panned as one of the worst division winners and least playoff-worthy teams in recent memory, their trip to Super Bowl XLIII Jan. 31 in Tampa against the Pittsburgh Steelers Super Bowl betting lines comes with a little more respect from the oddsmakers than you might imagine. They are a 7-point underdog at most sports books.
If you count yourself among those who covet the big dog in the big game, this isn’t exactly great news. You should have been hoping for more points. This is because the facts show that the bigger the dog, the better the bet in the Super Bowl.
Case in point: Over the past 13 seasons, double-figure underdogs in the Super Bowl are 4-0-1 ATS and have won the past three outright. In fact, the last double-digit chalk to do the deed for bettors was the 1995 San Francisco 49ers, who managed to beat the astounding 19-point spot afforded backers of the San Diego Chargers in the 49-26 romp in Super Bowl XXIX.
By contrast, 7-point favorites are 2-1-1 ATS in the same span, the last such contest resulting a cover grinded out by the Colts in their 29-17 win over the Bears two seasons ago in Super Bowl XLI.
In 2004, the Patriots failed to cover the number in their 32-29 triumph over the Carolina Panthers in Super Bowl props while the Rams and Titans gave everyone a refund in 2000 after the Rams posted a 23-16 win as a seven-point favorite.
So while Arizona’s run has included impressive upsets as a 10-point road underdog to the Carolina Panthers and Sunday’s 32-25 win in the NFC championship game to the 4-point favored Philadelphia Eagles, their long-shot story lacks a bit of the David vs. Goliath storyline of past Super Bowl underdogs.
While the seven-point spread represents a significant gap in the perception of strength between the two teams, it is far from monumental. For example, last season the Giants were the wild-card afterthought turned road-warrior buzzsaw, with stunning wins over the Buccaneers, Cowboys and Packers to earn their place in the Super Bowl.
There, they played spoiler to New England’s bid to become the first 19-0 team in NFL history and cemented their place in sports betting lore with a 17-14 win as a 12.5-point underdog.
In other words, the Cardinals appear to have their work cut out for them as a mid-range underdog. But in homage to the spread beaters who have come before them, here is a brief look back at recent colossal upsets in the Super Bowl:
SB XLII -- 2008 -- New York Giants 17, New England Patriots 14 (Giants +12.5) – Eli Manning’s 13-yard touchdown pass to Plaxico Burress in the final minute clinched the historic upset for the Giants, who used a masterful defensive plan to slow down Tom Brady and the previously undefeated New England Patriots.
XXXVI -- 2002 -- Patriots 20, Rams 17 (Patriots +14) – This was the coming out party for the aforementioned Brady, who went from obscure sixth-round draft pick to Super Bowl hero in one fell swoop. He led the game-winning drive in the final minute – eschewing analyst John Madden’s advice to take a knee and play for overtime – leading to Adam Vinatieri’s memorable 48-yard field goal that split the uprights as time expired.
XXXII 1998 Broncos 31, Packers 24 (Denver +12) – The first of John Elway’s two consecutive Super Bowl titles to put an end to his Hall of Fame career was an upset for the ages. The Broncos used the determination of Elway and a 157-yard, three-touchdown performance from Terrell Davis to turn back Brett Favre and the heavily favored Packers.
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